Articles & Book Chapters

“An Agenda for Complex Systems Research in Political Economy,” in Handbook of Complexity Economics, ed(s) Ping Chen, Wolfram Elsner, and Andreas Pyka. London and New York: Routledge, 2023, section IV.1.1.

“The Ecology of Innovation: The Evolution of a Research Paradigm,” in The Entrepreneurial Ecosystem:  A Global Perspective, ed(s) by Zoltan J. Acs, Esteban Lafuente and László Szerb. Palgrave McMillan, 2023, ch. 12.

Disruptive Innovation in the Economic Organization of China and the West,” Journal of Institutional Economics, September, 2022. Blog Broadstreet, September 13th, 2022.

Unintended Order and Self-Organization in the Evolutionary Social Theory of  Friedrich Hayek,” in Humanity and Nature in Economic Thought: Searching for the Organic Origins of the Economy, ed(s) by Gábor István Bíró. London and New York: Routledge, 2022, ch. 8.

Scale and Complexity in Political Economy: A Question of Liberty” with Joseph A. E. Shaheen, Dersu E. Tanca, and James W. Vizzard, Journal of Interdisciplinary History, LII:1, 2021.

The Feudal Origins of the Western Legal Tradition” with Cameron Harwick, ORDO, vol 70, no. 1, pp., 3–20, 2020.

Different Modelling Purposes” with Bruce Edmonds, Christophe Le Page, Mike Bithell, Edmund Chattoe-Brown, Volker Grimm, Ruth Meyer, Cristina Montañola-Sales, Paul Ormerod, and Flaminio Squazzoni, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, vol. 22, no. 3, pp. 6, 2019. 

Keynes, Hayek, and the Roots of Complexity Theory in Economics.” Journal on Policy and Complex Systems, vol. 4, no. 1, 2018. 

Network Assemblage of Regime Stability and Resilience,” Journal of Institutional Economics, vol. 13, no. 3, pp. 523-548, 2017. Nominated for the Elinor Ostrom prize. 

Fast, Slow and Endless Variation Drives Global Development,” Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 29, no. 4 (December, 2016): 1324-1343.

Global Political Dynamics and the Science of Complex Systems,” in Non-Equilibrium Social Science and Policy: Introduction and Essays on New and Changing Paradigms in Socio-economic Thinking, eds., Jeffrey Johnson, Andrzej Nowak, Paul Ormerod, Bridget Roswell, and Yi-Cheng Zhang (London: Springer Verlag, 2016): 95-10. 

“The Decentralization Challenge of Tunisia’s Democratic Revolution,” (report, Options to Support Decentralization in Tunisia, Asia Middle East Economic Growth Best Practices (A.M.E.G) (March 2016).

Exploring Creativity and Urban Development with Agent-Based Modeling,” with Ammar Malik, Andrew T. Crooks, and Melanie Swartz, The Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 18, no. 2 (March 2015): 12.

Managing Complexity and Uncertainty in Development Policy and Practice, with Harry Jones and Leni Wild, prepared for the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) and The Department for International Development (DFID) (London, UK, March 2015)

Lootable Resources and Political Virtue: The Economic Governance of Lee Kuan Yew, Ferdinand Marcos and Chiang Kai Skek Compared,” in Building Inclusive Democracies in ASEAN, eds. Ronald Mendoza, Edsel L. Beja Fr., Julio C. Teehankee, Antonio G.M. La Vina, and Maria Fe Villamejor Mendoza (Manilla: Anvil Publishing, 2015).

The State as a Complex Adaptive System,” in International Encyclopedia of Social and Behavioral Sciences, 2nd ed. James D. Wright, Vol 23 (Oxford: Elsevier, 2015): 368-370.

After Liberalism: Complexity in the Governance of a Networked Global Society,” World Financial Review (March 2014).

Demographic growth in dangerous places: Concentrating conflict risks,” with Monica Duffy Toft, Jack Goldstone, Monty Marshall, International Area Studies Review 17, no. 2 (June 2014): 120-133.

The Impact of Global Demographic Change on the International Security Environment,” in Managing Conflict in a World Adrift, eds. Chester A. Crocker, Fen Osler Hampson, and Pamela Aall, with Jack A. Goldstone and Monty G. Marshall (Washington, DC: United States Institute for Peace): 241-255, 2014

Turkey and the West: Bargaining for Realignment,” with Itir Ozer-Imer and Jacek Kugler. Journal of Contemporary European Studies. 21, no. 2 (2013): 218-251.

Moving On Up” Turkey is now a solidly middle-income state. But there are still plenty of roadblocks on the path ahead.  Foreign Policy, December 21, 2012.

Turkey: An Unsteady Colossus Astride the Bosphorus Turkey.” Prosperity In Depth: Twelve Country Studies. The 2012 Lagatum Index Ranking Turkey 89/142. Global Transitions, Prosperity Studies, ed. Peter Passell. London: Legatum Institute, October 26, 2012.

The Policy Conundrum of Financial Market Complexity” in Research Handbook on Banking and Governance, (edited by James R. Barth, Clas Wihlborg and Chen Lin). Northamption: Edward Elgar Publishing, Chapter 20, April 2012.

“The Policy Conundrum of Financial Market Complexity” (October 2011)

Political Virtue and Economic Leadership: Lee Kuan Yew and Ferdinand Marcos Compared

“The Hypocrisy Trap: US Foreign Aid in the Middle East”, with Yan Li. The Journal of Policy Studies, No. 37, March 2011

Accelerators of Stateness: Punctuated Transition or Gradual Reform in the Rise of the Modern State (December 2010), SSRN.

The US Foreign Aid Policy to the Middle East,” in Middle East Handbook, ed. Robert Looney, with Yan Li and Kanishka Balasuriya (New York: Routledge, 2010): 38-50.

“What Latin America Can Learn From East Asia’s Development Experience,” in Critical Issues for Mexico and the Developing World, ed. Kenneth Judd, with William Ratliff and Amanda Morgan (Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 2009).

Capitalism and Democracy: Markets, Democracy and Global Carpet-Bagging“, The National Interest, Vol. III, No. 3, Winter 2008

Opening the Doors of Invention: Institutions, Technology and Developing Nations (February 2006)

Making Infrastructure Work for the Poor: A Concept Paper on Infrastructure and Development, UNDP

If US stays attractive, its debt won’t be a threat (October 15, 2004)

Do US Deficits Threaten Global Financial Stability?”, Yale Global Online, October 13, 2004  

Bush Administration Financial Policies in Asia,” in George W. Bush and Asia: A Midterm Assessment, Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, pp. 91 – 102, (2003)

George Bush: A Midterm Assessment

What Democracy Can Do for East Asia,” Journal of Democracy, Vol. 13, No. 1, 2012

Choosing the Right Financial System for Growth (2001)

Public Administration Reform in Sri Lanka,” International Journal of Public Administration, Vol. 24, Issue 12, 2001.  

Invisible Hand: A Thirst for Funds Drives Change (April 26, 2001)

Is Indonesia Reinventing Itself? (March 7, 2001)

Do Strong Governments Produce Strong Economies? (February 22, 2001)

Thailand Moving Forward Into The Past (February 8, 2001)

Asia’s Bad Old Ways: Reforming Business by Reforming Its Environment (January 2001)

Removing Estrada Will Not Save the Phillipines (November 21, 2000)

Political Virtue and Economic Leadership: A Southeast Asian Paradox, The Milken Institute Review, Number 6, November 13, 2000.

Do Strong Governments Produce Strong Economies? (November 10, 2000)

Korea’s Recovery: Don’t Count on the Government (May 30, 2000)

Choosing the Right Financial System for Growth (February 28, 2000)

Self-Inflicted Wounds (1999)

‘Help’ That Never Reaches Those in Need (December 23, 1999)

Rethinking Global Economic Incentives: How Mismanagement Keeps World Leaders in Office (October 29, 1999)

The Crisis of Emerging Democracy in the Developing World (October 19, 1999)

IMF LOANS MUST BE LINKED TO REFORM: Don’t Bend Rules Just to Get Moscow from Thwarting NATO’s Balkan Mission (April 9, 1999)

See How Rulers Mismanage in Their Own Interest (February 22, 1999)

Taking the Crony Out Of Crony Capitalism (February 1999)

The New Korea: Crisis Brings Opportunity (February 1999)

Suharto’s Tax on Indonesia’s Future (1998)

A Crisis for Political Transition Hobbles Indonesia (February 10, 1998)

To Liberalize, Indonesia Has to Reform the State (January 27, 1998)

Distinctive Institutions in the Rise of Industrial Asia (1997)

Distinctive Institutions in the Rise of Industrial Asia (1997) in “Behind East Asian Growth: The Political and Social Foundations of Prosperity,” ed. Henry S. Rowen. pg. 60 -77.

The World Bank Finally Gets It (September 24, 1997)

The Economic Consequences of Corruption (September 20, 1997)

Transparency and China’s Aspirations (January 13, 1997)

East Asian Mirror: Good Governance Comes From Accountability (December 28, 1996)

Indonesia: Success Is Threatened For Lack of a Modern State (August 2, 1996)

Indonesia: Political Insecurity Linked to a Sense of Justice (August 1, 1996)

Corruption in China: Has It Become Systemic?,” Asian Survey, Vol 36. No. 8, August 1996.

Governance That Promotes Prosperity is Liberal (May 17, 1996)

Democracy Doesn’t Guarantee Economic Success (May 16, 1996)

Tension Underlie Indonesia’s Success (April 18, 1996)

How To Help Philippine Bureaucracy (March 7, 1996)

When Business Finds The Right Sort of Corruption Congenial (January 24, 1996)

“Interest Groups: Public Opinion and the Struggle for Authority In Ancien Regime France,” French History, Vol. 6, Issue 4, December 1992, pp. 411 – 434.

Tying the King’s Hands: Credible Commitments and Royal Fiscal Policy During the Old Regime, Rationality and Society, Vol 1., No. 2, 1989, pp. 240 – 258.